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The TAG

A solid regular whose bets and bluffs follow the board.

The TAG is a solid regular. They play a sensible range, bet their good hands and good draws, bluff in a few well-chosen spots, and give up when they miss. They're the hardest of the six to push around, but just as predictable once you know their habits, and most of those depend on the board.

In short

Before the flop

The TAG opens about 14% of hands from under the gun (190 combos) and 37% from the button: from late seats they add every suited ace and plenty of connectors.

The TAG's button open: 494 combos, about 37% of hands.

Their 3-bet is mostly value and grows a little by seat, from QQ+ and AK under the gun to the grid below on the button. About 5% of hands from the button or the blinds.

The TAG's 3-bet from the button: 72 combos.

The blinds swap the small suited aces for KQ (also 72 combos); the cutoff is JJ+, AQs+ and AKo (44); under the gun QQ+ and AK (34).

When they just call from the big blind, they have the middle, shown below. JJ+, AQ+ and KQ 3-bet instead. Against a button open they defend 17% of hands and fold 83%.

The TAG's call from the big blind: 154 combos. No JJ or better, no AQ or AK.

If you 3-bet them, they 4-bet QQ+ and AK, call with the grid below, and fold the rest: 79% of their button opens, 45% of their under-the-gun opens.

What the TAG calls your 3-bet with: 70 combos. QQ+ and AK 4-bet instead.

After the flop

As the raiser, what they do on the flop depends on the board:

A♣9♦4♠
A dry flop. The TAG c-bets all 411 combos of their button range. The bet tells you nothing.
J♥9♥5♣
A wet flop. The same range bets 243 combos, 56%.

The other 193 check: weaker pairs, gutshots and ace-high with no backdoor flush draw. Of the 243 bets, 112 are air with two overcards or a backdoor flush draw.

On the turn they bet top pair or better, overpairs and their flush draws and open-enders. If the turn is an overcard (higher than every flop card) they also barrel air with a gutshot or two overcards. The rest checks, and that includes pairs that were top pair on the flop and aren't anymore:

J♥9♥5♣K♦
An overcard turn. After c-betting the flop, the TAG bets 139 of 227 combos.

The 88 that check are every one-pair jack (JT, QJ, AJ and J8, now second pair), QQ (an overpair that isn't anymore), and ace-high with no gutshot.

As the caller, first to act on the flop and turn, they check everything; two pair or better checks to check-raise. In position, when you check to them, they bet two pair or better, top pair, flush draws and open-enders, and check the rest.

Facing a bet, they:

Their hand1/3 pot1/2 or 2/3 potPot
Two pair or betterRaise 3xRaise 3xRaise 3x
Overpair, top pair good kickerCallCallCall
Top pair weak kicker, second or third pairCallCallFold
Nut flush draw, combo draw (flop)Raise 3xRaise 3xRaise 3x
Other flush draws, open-enders (flop and turn)CallCallCall
GutshotCallFoldFold
The restFoldFoldFold

Made hands play this way on every street. A good kicker is a ten or better. Weaker pairs also fold to a raise.

J♥9♥5♣
The TAG called your button open from the big blind and checks. Bet 2/3 pot and 48 combos fold; bet the pot and 72 fold.

At 2/3 pot, 9 combos raise (sets, nut and combo flush draws) and 78 call. At pot size the 24 weaker pairs join the folds.

On the river they bet top pair or better, and they bluff with missed flush draws and open-enders. Missed gutshots and other air check.

J♥9♥5♣K♦2♠
After betting flop and turn, the TAG bets 109 of 139 combos here. 19 of them are bluffs.

The 90 value bets are two pair or better, kings and AA. The 19 bluffs are missed hearts, and 87 and T8 that missed their open-ender. The 30 that check are mostly AQ and AT, missed gutshots.

In a 3-bet or 4-bet pot they stop pot-controlling one pair: bet into them on the flop or turn and they raise top pair, good kicker and overpairs, where in a single-raised pot they call down. Two pair or better raises as always, weaker pairs still call a small or medium bet, and on the river top pair calls.

Say the TAG opened the cutoff, you 3-bet from the button and they called: 70 combos, 65 once the board is out.

10♠6♦2♣
They check. Bet 2/3 pot and 15 combos raise: TT, JJ, AT and JT.

Then 18 smaller pairs call (77, 88, 99) and 32 fold. In a single-raised pot the 12 combos of JJ, AT and JT would call, and only TT would raise.

In a limped pot nobody raised, so there is no one to check to: first to act they bet top pair, overpairs and their flush draws and open-enders, and check the rest.

How to exploit them

What this leak is worth. Not much: they have the fewest leaks of the six. On T-7-2-A-5, only 4 of their 148 river bets are bluffs.

What their bet sizes tell you

Nothing about the hand. A third of the pot on a dry flop, two-thirds on a medium one, three-quarters on a wet one; half, two-thirds and three-quarters on the turn; two-thirds on a dry or medium river, three-quarters on a wet one. A set and a backdoor flush draw bet the same on the same board. Raises are always three times your bet. The size changes your pot odds, and that's all.

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